https://jeux.wiki/index.php?action=history&feed=atom&title=Expected_Loss_Across_Mixed_Wagers 2026-11-06T16:50:25Z Historique des versions pour cette page sur le wiki MediaWiki 1.46.0 https://jeux.wiki/index.php?title=Expected_Loss_Across_Mixed_Wagers&diff=2900&oldid=prev 2026-10-22T18:37:21Z

<p>Page créée avec « Expected loss across mixed wagers&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Expected loss across mixed wagers is the sum of the expected losses of each wager type in a session. Expected values add even when outcomes are correlated, which is what makes it possible to price a main bet and its optional side bets as independent line items.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Say a session puts $400 on a wager with a 1% edge and $100 on one with an 8% edge. Expected losses: $4 and $8. Combined, $12 on $500 of turnover, a turno... »</p> <p><b>Nouvelle page</b></p><div>Expected loss across mixed wagers&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Expected loss across mixed wagers is the sum of the expected losses of each wager type in a session. Expected values add even when outcomes are correlated, which is what makes it possible to price a main bet and its optional side bets as independent line items.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Say a session puts $400 on a wager with a 1% edge and $100 on one with an 8% edge. Expected losses: $4 and $8. Combined, $12 on $500 of turnover, a turnover-weighted edge of 2.4%.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The weighting matters. Averaging 1% and 8% arithmetically gives 4.5%, nearly double the true figure, because it ignores that four fifths of the money went to the cheaper bet. Every calculation of [https://casinohouseedge.com/ expected loss in casino games] multiplies each percentage by the amount actually staked on it, and the same applies when stakes change from one round to the next.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;What the $12 does not describe is risk. Correlated bets and rare large payouts can stretch the distribution of outcomes enormously while the expected losses still add neatly. Reading a session&#039;s risk takes more than one weighted percentage.&lt;br&gt;</div>

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